Nate Silver 2024 Election Odds

Nate Silver 2024 Election Odds. Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that harris with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to trump’s. Some models in 2016 gave.

Fivethirtyeight’s forecasts favored harris at a 50% to 49% clip, while silver bulletin, the model run by statistician and polymarket adviser nate silver, leaned toward harris by a. The silver bulletin presidential model is the same model that i developed and published when i worked for fivethirtyeight from 2008 through 2023.